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Located in New York, London, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Mumbai and Sydney,
the Global Economics team of about 30 professional economists analyzes
developments in macroeconomic policies around the world and forecasts
key economic variables and their effects on global markets for all
major countries.
A Strong Team With a Variety of Backgrounds
All team members hold at least a master's degree
in economics or closely related fields from a high-quality university.
They come from a variety of backgrounds:
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Dr. Paul Sheard, global chief economist, a fluent Japanese
speaker, worked for much of his career as an academic before
joining Lehman Brothers in 2000. |
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Dr. Ethan Harris, U.S. chief economist, started his career
at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, joining Lehman Brothers
in 1996. |
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Michael Hume, chief economist for Europe, joined the Firm
in 1997 and has a wide range of analytical and policy interests. |
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Dr. Kenichi Kawasaki, chief economist for Japan, joined Lehman
Brothers in 2007, having worked as an economist for the Japanese
government for two decades. |
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Rob Subbaraman, chief economist for Asia ex-Japan, worked
for the Reserve Bank of Australia before joining the Firm in
1996 and has worked in Tokyo and Hong Kong since then. |
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Dr. Ed Morse, chief energy economist, joined Lehman Brothers
in 2006, having worked in the energy arena for three decades
in a variety of roles in academe, government, publishing and
business. |
This diversity of backgrounds, combined with strong
academic credentials, enables our team to bring different areas
of expertise to economic forecasting.
A Common View
We are proud that we present one common, global view with our regional
and country forecasts. This is true not only of the forecasts within
the Global Economics team, but it also applies across our Research
departments.
The Global Economics team works with strategists in
the Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange (FX)
and Equity Strategy groups on their forecasting. These strategists
refer to our economic forecasts and incorporate the information
into their portfolio analyses and recommendations. And the Firm's
analysts, in turn, use this economic and strategic input to compile
their individual investment recommendations.
How We Get Our View Across
We offer a range of publications, available through various channels,
depending on client preferences, location and requirements:
Online Comments
Quick, short, high-frequency analysis of data releases and news.
Morning Comments Series
These reports update readers on important data releases and market
moves since close of business the previous day, as well as provide
previews of that day's market-moving data. There are three editions
each day, one for each trading zone.
Global Weekly Economic Monitor
Our weekly flagship publication. Covering all major economies and
financial markets, the Global Weekly Economic Monitor is
published every Friday. It is divided into two sections: The first
comprises research articles focusing on a specific region, or of
a global nature. The second provides country-by-country summaries
of our macroeconomic forecasts, as well as detailed commentary of
forthcoming releases and market-moving events, including data calendars
of the week and month ahead.
Quarterly and Research
Papers
These publications present our longer-term, in-depth research. Our
model-based Euro area and U.K. forecasts are set out in detail in
quarterly publications. Our structural economics research papers
provide a thorough examination of structural reforms in the Euro
area and their impact on economic performance. Other research papers
cover diverse topics, such as Britain's possible entry into the
Euro, the impact of China's growth on the world economy, and Federal
Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's economic thinking.
Finally, we contribute to a number of more specialized
strategy products that emphasize the market implications of our
views.
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